Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.95 – 102.16

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

38 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 7.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.8 ±12.7

3673C.Y.B.O.R.G. Seagulls

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 11.62Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5970Beavertronics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 5.38Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6831A-05 Annex

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 14.95Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 312.4 ±11.7

5937MI Robotics

Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 78.17Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3024My Favorite Team

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 10.23Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10444Ursa Major

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 13.76Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3673, 5970, 6831

/ 100 compat

Projected

32 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3673, 5970, 6831

Auto

17.2 77%

Teleop

-4.3 0%

Endgame

9.5 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5937, 3024, 10444

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5937, 3024, 10444

Auto

21.3 21%

Teleop

70.8 70%

Endgame

9.7 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score32pts

Blue projected score102.2pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -70.2
Score range: 8–126
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 131 vs event baseline 132.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192.8Season APEX312.4

17.2Auto21.3

-4.3Teleop70.8

9.5Endgame9.7

47Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	38
teleop	14	37
endgame	7	13
foul	10	5
total	38	93

Result

Final score

38 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 7.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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