Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

273.07 – 86.88

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

328 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 58 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 516.5 ±10.4

957SWARM - South and West Albany Robotics Maniacs

Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 98.36Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1425Error Code Xero

Season APEX 200Event APEX 124.74Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2471Team Mean Machine

Season APEX 182.8Event APEX 49.97Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 229.3 ±12.8

3024My Favorite Team

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX -0.1Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

70342B Determined

Season APEX 128.9Event APEX 75.98Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6831A-05 Annex

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 11Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 957, 1425, 2471

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 957, 1425, 2471

Auto

76.4 29%

Teleop

136.5 51%

Endgame

54.7 20%

Strengths

· 1425 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3024, 7034, 6831

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3024, 7034, 6831

Auto

14.2 18%

Teleop

52.7 65%

Endgame

14.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score273.1pts

Blue projected score86.9pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 186.2
Score range: 64–296
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 476 vs event baseline 128.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

516.5Season APEX229.3

76.4Auto14.2

136.5Teleop52.7

54.7Endgame14

16Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	11
teleop	187	98
endgame	63	39
foul	5	0
total	328	148

Result

Final score

328 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 58 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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