Qualification · Qualification 34
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
55.97 – 26.8
59%41%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
73 – 178
Prediction missed · off by 84.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 338.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 15.23Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 182.8Event APEX 47.75Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX -7.01Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 206.2 ±11.6
Season APEX 50.4Event APEX -2.15Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 41.49Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.1Event APEX -12.54Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5970, 2471, 2915
32
/ 100 compatProjected
56 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5970, 2471, 2915
Auto
23.7 51%
Teleop
14.5 31%
Endgame
8.4 18%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6343, 1595, 3636
31
/ 100 compatProjected
26.8 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6343, 1595, 3636
Auto
9.4 27%
Teleop
18.9 54%
Endgame
6.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.26
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score56pts
Blue projected score26.8pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 29.2
- Score range
- 4–79
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
338.7Season APEX206.2
23.7Auto9.4
14.5Teleop18.9
8.4Endgame6.9
55Consistency47
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 40 | 36 |
| teleop | 7 | 81 |
| endgame | 16 | 56 |
| foul | 10 | 5 |
| total | 73 | 178 |
Result
Final score
73 – 178
Prediction missed · off by 84.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.