Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

71.08 – 218.65

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

38 – 300

Prediction correct · off by 57.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 108.6 ±12.7

3574HIGH TEKERZ

Season APEX 43Event APEX 8.39Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2550Skynet

Season APEX 39Event APEX 40.08Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3673C.Y.B.O.R.G. Seagulls

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 22.61Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 515.5 ±9.8

5937MI Robotics

Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 60.79Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

957SWARM - South and West Albany Robotics Maniacs

Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 81.67Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

70342B Determined

Season APEX 128.9Event APEX 76.19Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3574, 2550, 3673

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3574, 2550, 3673

Auto

21.7 34%

Teleop

19.1 30%

Endgame

23.0 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5937, 957, 7034

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5937, 957, 7034

Auto

36.2 17%

Teleop

151.3 70%

Endgame

28.4 13%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score71.1pts

Blue projected score218.7pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -147.6
Score range: 50–240
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 338 vs event baseline 118.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

108.6Season APEX515.5

21.7Auto36.2

19.1Teleop151.3

23Endgame28.4

64Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	48
teleop	7	196
endgame	4	56
foul	5	0
total	38	300

Result

Final score

38 – 300

Prediction correct · off by 57.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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