Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

114.17 – 74.2

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

139 – 205

Prediction missed · off by 77.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 259.6 ±12.2

70342B Determined

Season APEX 128.9Event APEX 81.18Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2550Skynet

Season APEX 39Event APEX 36.26Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5970Beavertronics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX -3.27Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 370.5 ±11.2

1595The Dragons

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 32.98Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6831A-05 Annex

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 14.35Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6696Cardinal Dynamics

Season APEX 204.3Event APEX 26.87Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7034, 2550, 5970

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7034, 2550, 5970

Auto

18.6 18%

Teleop

65.0 64%

Endgame

18.7 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1595, 6831, 6696

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1595, 6831, 6696

Auto

23.4 35%

Teleop

25.6 38%

Endgame

18.0 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114.2pts

Blue projected score74.2pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40
Score range: 52–136
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 344 vs event baseline 120.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

259.6Season APEX370.5

18.6Auto23.4

65Teleop25.6

18.7Endgame18

134Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	36
teleop	85	118
endgame	27	26
foul	0	25
total	139	205

Result

Final score

139 – 205

Prediction missed · off by 77.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.