Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
84.67 – 104.67
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
60 – 20
Prediction missed · off by 54.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 152.5 ±12.1
Season APEX 43Event APEX -11.94Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.9Event APEX 66.59Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 30.02Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.7 ±12.7
Season APEX 25.9Event APEX -12.4Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 77.57Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 39.5Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3574, 4513, 10444
42
/ 100 compatProjected
84.7 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3574, 4513, 10444
Auto
23.5 32%
Teleop
54.8 75%
Endgame
-5.1 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3024, 2898, 6343
55
/ 100 compatProjected
104.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3024, 2898, 6343
Auto
17.4 17%
Teleop
55.8 55%
Endgame
28.1 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score84.7pts
Blue projected score104.7pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -20
- Score range
- 62–128
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
152.5Season APEX174.7
23.5Auto17.4
54.8Teleop55.8
-5.1Endgame28.1
112Consistency109
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 14 |
| teleop | 29 | 6 |
| endgame | 12 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 60 | 20 |
Result
Final score
60 – 20
Prediction missed · off by 54.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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