Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

71.68 – 179.22

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 50.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 288.9 ±12.2

4488Shockwave

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 78.59Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

847PHRED

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX -21.81Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5975Beta Blues

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 14.9Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 393.3 ±11.7

1425Error Code Xero

Season APEX 200Event APEX 88.61Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3663CPR - Cedar Park Robotics

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 77.42Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4662Byte Sized Robotics

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 13.19Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4488, 847, 5975

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4488, 847, 5975

Auto

13.9 22%

Teleop

42.6 68%

Endgame

6.6 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1425, 3663, 4662

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1425, 3663, 4662

Auto

30.8 17%

Teleop

99.4 56%

Endgame

46.9 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score71.7pts

Blue projected score179.2pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.5
Score range: 50–201
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 352 vs event baseline 122.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

288.9Season APEX393.3

13.9Auto30.8

42.6Teleop99.4

6.6Endgame46.9

88Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	43
teleop	58	138
endgame	24	73
foul	0	0
total	98	254

Result

Final score

98 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 50.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.