Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

223.27 – 127.93

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

359 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 101.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 497.8 ±10

2898Flying Hedgehogs

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 63.8Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1540Flaming Chickens

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 115.72Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3663CPR - Cedar Park Robotics

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 43.75Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.8 ±12.2

2374Jesuit Robotics

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 84.6Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5970Beavertronics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 23.46Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3024My Favorite Team

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 19.87Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2898, 1540, 3663

/ 100 compat

Projected

223.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2898, 1540, 3663

Auto

47.9 22%

Teleop

102.6 48%

Endgame

65.5 30%

Strengths

· 1540 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2374, 5970, 3024

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2374, 5970, 3024

Auto

9.5 8%

Teleop

70.5 62%

Endgame

33.2 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score223.3pts

Blue projected score127.9pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.3
Score range: 107–244
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 419 vs event baseline 115.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

497.8Season APEX226.8

47.9Auto9.5

102.6Teleop70.5

65.5Endgame33.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	7
teleop	214	37
endgame	73	11
foul	10	5
total	359	60

Result

Final score

359 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 101.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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