Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

8.26 – 33.02

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 72.9 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 137.2 ±12.8

3024My Favorite Team

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 1.37Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9438Leopard Tech

Season APEX 48.6Event APEX 15.23Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5975Beta Blues

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX -8.34Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 319.5 ±11.6

70342B Determined

Season APEX 128.9Event APEX 26.13Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2990Hotwire

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 15.23Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3636Generals

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX -8.34Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3024, 9438, 5975

/ 100 compat

Projected

8.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3024, 9438, 5975

Auto

3.2 32%

Teleop

9.0 89%

Endgame

-2.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7034, 2990, 3636

/ 100 compat

Projected

33 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7034, 2990, 3636

Auto

-2.3 0%

Teleop

29.7 85%

Endgame

7.4 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score8.3pts

Blue projected score33pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -24.8
Score range: -14–55
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 187 vs event baseline 123.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

137.2Season APEX319.5

3.2Auto-2.3

9Teleop29.7

-2.1Endgame7.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	2
teleop	13	105
endgame	6	43
foul	10	0
total	37	150

Result

Final score

37 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 72.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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