Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.19 – 76.97

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.6 ±12.2

2635Lake Monsters

Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 23.86Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3673C.Y.B.O.R.G. Seagulls

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 18.01Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3024My Favorite Team

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 9.32Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.3 ±12.2

10444Ursa Major

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX -5.93Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2374Jesuit Robotics

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 62.23Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6831A-05 Annex

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 20.67Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2635, 3673, 3024

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2635, 3673, 3024

Auto

18.2 38%

Teleop

12.2 25%

Endgame

17.7 37%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10444, 2374, 6831

/ 100 compat

Projected

77 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10444, 2374, 6831

Auto

13.1 19%

Teleop

29.6 43%

Endgame

25.4 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score51.2pts

Blue projected score77pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.8
Score range: 25–103
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 183 vs event baseline 142.9.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.6Season APEX217.3

18.2Auto13.1

12.2Teleop29.6

17.7Endgame25.4

21Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	22
teleop	25	62
endgame	10	32
foul	0	15
total	52	131

Result

Final score

52 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.