Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

308.09 – 231.7

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

335 – 277

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 497.4 ±9.5

6696Cardinal Dynamics

Season APEX 204.3Event APEX 99.01Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3673C.Y.B.O.R.G. Seagulls

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 17.02Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1540Flaming Chickens

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 192.06Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 544.6 ±10.5

5970Beavertronics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 15.39Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1425Error Code Xero

Season APEX 200Event APEX 131.11Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5937MI Robotics

Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 85.2Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6696, 3673, 1540

/ 100 compat

Projected

308.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6696, 3673, 1540

Auto

61.6 21%

Teleop

156.6 54%

Endgame

70.2 24%

Strengths

· 1540 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5970, 1425, 5937

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5970, 1425, 5937

Auto

54.7 25%

Teleop

126.2 57%

Endgame

41.3 19%

Strengths

· 1425 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.95 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score308.1pts

Blue projected score231.7pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.4
Score range: 207–333
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 612 vs event baseline 140.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

497.4Season APEX544.6

61.6Auto54.7

156.6Teleop126.2

70.2Endgame41.3

10Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	64
teleop	147	148
endgame	133	45
foul	0	20
total	335	277

Result

Final score

335 – 277

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 pts

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