Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

312.96 – 229.42

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

274 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 28.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 497.4 ±9.5

6696Cardinal Dynamics

Season APEX 204.3Event APEX 100.64Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3673C.Y.B.O.R.G. Seagulls

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 18.59Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1540Flaming Chickens

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 193.73Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 544.6 ±10.5

5970Beavertronics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 14.54Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1425Error Code Xero

Season APEX 200Event APEX 130.5Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5937MI Robotics

Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 84.38Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6696, 3673, 1540

/ 100 compat

Projected

313 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6696, 3673, 1540

Auto

59.8 21%

Teleop

158.3 54%

Endgame

72.4 25%

Strengths

· 1540 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5970, 1425, 5937

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5970, 1425, 5937

Auto

54.2 25%

Teleop

125.0 57%

Endgame

41.6 19%

Strengths

· 1425 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score313pts

Blue projected score229.4pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 83.5
Score range: 204–338
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 521 vs event baseline 139.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

497.4Season APEX544.6

59.8Auto54.2

158.3Teleop125

72.4Endgame41.6

6Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	59
teleop	145	135
endgame	54	38
foul	0	15
total	274	247

Result

Final score

274 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 28.3 pts

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