Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
20.2 – 42.6
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
69 – 205
Prediction correct · off by 105.6 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 283.3 ±11.1
Season APEX 169Event APEX -0.43Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 18.86Rank 32Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 72.9Event APEX 1.77Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.8 ±10.4
Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 35.71Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 7.32Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 128.9Event APEX -0.43Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10991, 3712, 8532
26
/ 100 compatProjected
20.2 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 10991, 3712, 8532
Auto
4.0 22%
Teleop
4.9 26%
Endgame
9.7 52%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3674, 2374, 7034
45
/ 100 compatProjected
42.6 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3674, 2374, 7034
Auto
9.6 23%
Teleop
24.0 57%
Endgame
8.7 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score20.2pts
Blue projected score42.6pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -22.4
- Score range
- 1–62
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
283.3Season APEX401.8
4Auto9.6
4.9Teleop24
9.7Endgame8.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 10 |
| teleop | 19 | 118 |
| endgame | 17 | 77 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 69 | 205 |
Result
Final score
69 – 205
Prediction correct · off by 105.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.