Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.24 – 94.85

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

143 – 136

Prediction missed · off by 47 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.7 ±11.6

3712RoboCats

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX -6.66Rank 32Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3674CloverBots

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 94.11Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3673C.Y.B.O.R.G. Seagulls

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 2.79Rank 35Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.8 ±12.2

5920VIKotics

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 32.55Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2926Robo Sparks

Season APEX 120Event APEX 47.54Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1359Scalawags

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 14.76Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3712, 3674, 3673

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3712, 3674, 3673

Auto

16.3 19%

Teleop

46.9 53%

Endgame

24.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5920, 2926, 1359

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5920, 2926, 1359

Auto

17.2 18%

Teleop

42.4 44%

Endgame

36.0 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.2pts

Blue projected score94.9pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.6
Score range: 65–120
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 279 vs event baseline 136.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231.7Season APEX254.8

16.3Auto17.2

46.9Teleop42.4

24.5Endgame36

132Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	6
teleop	66	69
endgame	43	51
foul	0	10
total	143	136

Result

Final score

143 – 136

Prediction missed · off by 47 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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