Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
98.57 – 132.84
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
181 – 65
Prediction missed · off by 75.1 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 311.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 67.71Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 20Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 45.7Event APEX 10.86Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 426 ±11.1
Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 20Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 307.9Event APEX 80.27Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 32.57Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 846, 1359, 4692
64
/ 100 compatProjected
98.6 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 846, 1359, 4692
Auto
25.4 26%
Teleop
41.1 42%
Endgame
32.0 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 847, 5468, 4043
79
/ 100 compatProjected
132.8 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 847, 5468, 4043
Auto
32.9 25%
Teleop
61.1 46%
Endgame
38.8 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score98.6pts
Blue projected score132.8pts
Red win probability39%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -34.3
- Score range
- 79–153
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
311.6Season APEX426
25.4Auto32.9
41.1Teleop61.1
32Endgame38.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 43 | 10 |
| teleop | 80 | 43 |
| endgame | 58 | 12 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 181 | 65 |
Result
Final score
181 – 65
Prediction missed · off by 75.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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