Qualification · Qualification 69
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
57.98 – 151.79
24%76%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
72 – 158
Prediction correct · off by 10.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 272.4 ±10.7
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 8.46Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 29.83Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 19.69Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 544.2 ±10.8
Season APEX 196.3Event APEX 44.38Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 74.18Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74Event APEX 33.23Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2811, 4043, 6443
28
/ 100 compatProjected
58 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2811, 4043, 6443
Auto
2.6 5%
Teleop
38.7 77%
Endgame
9.0 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4125, 9023, 749
64
/ 100 compatProjected
151.8 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4125, 9023, 749
Auto
26.1 17%
Teleop
90.1 60%
Endgame
33.6 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score58pts
Blue projected score151.8pts
Red win probability24%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -93.8
- Score range
- 33–177
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
272.4Season APEX544.2
2.6Auto26.1
38.7Teleop90.1
9Endgame33.6
4Consistency21
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 37 |
| teleop | 38 | 96 |
| endgame | 26 | 25 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 72 | 158 |
Result
Final score
72 – 158
Prediction correct · off by 10.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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