Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

43.49 – 112.29

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 11.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 138 ±12.1

3712RoboCats

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX -4.44Rank 32Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6343Steel Ridge

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 34.98Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6465Mystic Biscuit

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 12.95Rank 31Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234.9 ±11.7

2374Jesuit Robotics

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 48.67Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4061SciBorgs

Season APEX 99.8Event APEX 44.76Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3024My Favorite Team

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 18.86Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3712, 6343, 6465

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3712, 6343, 6465

Auto

18.2 45%

Teleop

11.9 29%

Endgame

10.3 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2374, 4061, 3024

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2374, 4061, 3024

Auto

31.5 30%

Teleop

49.5 47%

Endgame

23.4 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score43.5pts

Blue projected score112.3pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -68.8
Score range: 16–139
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 178 vs event baseline 151.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

138Season APEX234.9

18.2Auto31.5

11.9Teleop49.5

10.3Endgame23.4

17Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	31
teleop	31	61
endgame	22	20
foul	5	0
total	66	112

Result

Final score

66 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 11.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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