Qualification · Qualification 59
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
68.48 – 113.63
36%64%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
85 – 173
Prediction correct · off by 37.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 271.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 98.4Event APEX -1Rank 33Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120Event APEX 44.34Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 25.14Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402.9 ±11.4
Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 63.77Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 21.16Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 28.7Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2733, 2926, 847
39
/ 100 compatProjected
68.5 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 2733, 2926, 847
Auto
7.4 11%
Teleop
38.8 59%
Endgame
19.7 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9023, 9567, 5920
51
/ 100 compatProjected
113.6 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9023, 9567, 5920
Auto
13.9 13%
Teleop
73.0 66%
Endgame
24.3 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.83
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score68.5pts
Blue projected score113.6pts
Red win probability36%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -45.1
- Score range
- 43–139
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
271.7Season APEX402.9
7.4Auto13.9
38.8Teleop73
19.7Endgame24.3
41Consistency9
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 38 |
| teleop | 47 | 97 |
| endgame | 31 | 33 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 85 | 173 |
Result
Final score
85 – 173
Prediction correct · off by 37.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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