Qualification · Qualification 49
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
198.1 – 95.53
78%22%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
201 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 3.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 326.1 ±11.1
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 38.83Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 122.6Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 36.67Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.4 ±12.2
Season APEX 143.7Event APEX 66.16Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 17.35Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 12.02Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4043, 846, 5920
79
/ 100 compatProjected
198.1 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4043, 846, 5920
Auto
34.1 17%
Teleop
122.6 61%
Endgame
43.1 22%
Strengths
- · 846 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 997, 9567, 6845
48
/ 100 compatProjected
95.5 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 997, 9567, 6845
Auto
17.8 19%
Teleop
57.9 63%
Endgame
16.8 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.91
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score198.1pts
Blue projected score95.5pts
Red win probability78%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 102.6
- Score range
- 72–222
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
326.1Season APEX245.4
34.1Auto17.8
122.6Teleop57.9
43.1Endgame16.8
5Consistency61
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 35 | 15 |
| teleop | 104 | 56 |
| endgame | 57 | 28 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 201 | 99 |
Result
Final score
201 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 3.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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