Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

83.87 – 262.14

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

117 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 25.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 320.5 ±12.8

9430CTEC Robotics

Season APEX 158.2Event APEX 68.76Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2733Pigmice

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 0.37Rank 33Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9567StormBreakers

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 14.74Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 433.9 ±11.2

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 124.55Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

749Ctrl V

Season APEX 74Event APEX 39.38Rank 21Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3674CloverBots

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 98.21Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9430, 2733, 9567

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9430, 2733, 9567

Auto

24.7 34%

Teleop

31.0 43%

Endgame

16.2 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 846, 749, 3674

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.1 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 846, 749, 3674

Auto

40.9 16%

Teleop

137.1 54%

Endgame

74.6 30%

Strengths

· 846 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.9pts

Blue projected score262.1pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -178.3
Score range: 61–285
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 397 vs event baseline 126.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

320.5Season APEX433.9

24.7Auto40.9

31Teleop137.1

16.2Endgame74.6

86Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	57
teleop	63	154
endgame	21	69
foul	0	0
total	117	280

Result

Final score

117 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 25.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.