Qualification · Qualification 37
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
35.5 – 77.88
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
143 – 52
Prediction missed · off by 66.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 128.9Event APEX 19.87Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 21.87Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99.8Event APEX -6.24Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 317.5 ±10
Season APEX 120Event APEX 65.23Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 30.08Rank 31Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX -17.43Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7034, 1359, 4061
25
/ 100 compatProjected
35.5 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7034, 1359, 4061
Auto
7.1 20%
Teleop
11.9 33%
Endgame
17.4 48%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2926, 6465, 2811
43
/ 100 compatProjected
77.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2926, 6465, 2811
Auto
4.9 7%
Teleop
42.6 59%
Endgame
24.6 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score35.5pts
Blue projected score77.9pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -42.4
- Score range
- 14–100
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
298.4Season APEX317.5
7.1Auto4.9
11.9Teleop42.6
17.4Endgame24.6
47Consistency32
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 9 |
| teleop | 56 | 19 |
| endgame | 31 | 19 |
| foul | 20 | 5 |
| total | 143 | 52 |
Result
Final score
143 – 52
Prediction missed · off by 66.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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