Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

126.33 – 174.31

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 42 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 542.7 ±8.8

4061SciBorgs

Season APEX 99.8Event APEX -2.2Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9023Future Martians

Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 71.51Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10991PioBytes

Season APEX 169Event APEX 57.02Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.4 ±10.5

6443AEMBOT

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 33.6Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

70342B Determined

Season APEX 128.9Event APEX 15.87Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 124.84Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4061, 9023, 10991

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4061, 9023, 10991

Auto

14.2 12%

Teleop

83.6 69%

Endgame

23.7 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6443, 7034, 846

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6443, 7034, 846

Auto

11.1 7%

Teleop

112.3 66%

Endgame

45.5 27%

Strengths

· 846 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.3pts

Blue projected score174.3pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48
Score range: 103–197
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 126.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

542.7Season APEX381.4

14.2Auto11.1

83.6Teleop112.3

23.7Endgame45.5

44Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	31
teleop	36	124
endgame	1	44
foul	5	5
total	72	204

Result

Final score

72 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 42 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.