Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

61.42 – 125.82

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 219 ±11

6343Steel Ridge

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 11.69Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9438Leopard Tech

Season APEX 48.6Event APEX -9.43Rank 26Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

2926Robo Sparks

Season APEX 120Event APEX 59.16Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 269.2 ±11.6

4043NerdHerd

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 31.81Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6465Mystic Biscuit

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 32.41Rank 31Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

9430CTEC Robotics

Season APEX 158.2Event APEX 61.6Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6343, 9438, 2926

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6343, 9438, 2926

Auto

15.3 26%

Teleop

40.5 68%

Endgame

3.9 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4043, 6465, 9430

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4043, 6465, 9430

Auto

23.3 19%

Teleop

53.1 42%

Endgame

48.6 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.4pts

Blue projected score125.8pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.4
Score range: 38–149
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 213 vs event baseline 125.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219Season APEX269.2

15.3Auto23.3

40.5Teleop53.1

3.9Endgame48.6

37Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	13
teleop	56	77
endgame	15	32
foul	5	0
total	91	122

Result

Final score

91 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.