Qualification · Qualification 29
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
83.5 – 76.04
52%48%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
157 – 25
Prediction correct · off by 62.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 404.8 ±11
Season APEX 143.7Event APEX 58.66Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 20.83Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 196.3Event APEX 4.01Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.7 ±12.7
Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 9.93Rank 33Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 22.23Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 43.88Rank 31Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 997, 4043, 4125
47
/ 100 compatProjected
83.5 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 997, 4043, 4125
Auto
14.4 16%
Teleop
52.4 59%
Endgame
21.9 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2733, 5920, 6465
38
/ 100 compatProjected
76 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2733, 5920, 6465
Auto
-0.1 0%
Teleop
51.0 65%
Endgame
27.6 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.41
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score83.5pts
Blue projected score76pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 7.5
- Score range
- 53–107
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
404.8Season APEX209.7
14.4Auto-0.1
52.4Teleop51
21.9Endgame27.6
35Consistency30
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 5 |
| teleop | 86 | 15 |
| endgame | 42 | 5 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 157 | 25 |
Result
Final score
157 – 25
Prediction correct · off by 62.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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