Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.48 – 192.34

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

152 – 146

Prediction missed · off by 55.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 403.1 ±10.7

8532Classified

Season APEX 72.9Event APEX 3.64Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6443AEMBOT

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 21.68Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

9023Future Martians

Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 62.16Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333.4 ±11

2521SERT

Season APEX 133.8Event APEX 103.45Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9430CTEC Robotics

Season APEX 158.2Event APEX 75.68Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3712RoboCats

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 13.21Rank 32Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8532, 6443, 9023

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8532, 6443, 9023

Auto

11.8 13%

Teleop

66.0 73%

Endgame

12.9 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2521, 9430, 3712

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2521, 9430, 3712

Auto

48.0 26%

Teleop

96.3 51%

Endgame

43.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.5pts

Blue projected score192.3pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -104.9
Score range: 65–214
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 124.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

403.1Season APEX333.4

11.8Auto48

66Teleop96.3

12.9Endgame43.8

22Consistency113

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	48
teleop	97	51
endgame	31	32
foul	10	15
total	152	146

Result

Final score

152 – 146

Prediction missed · off by 55.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.