Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

220.95 – 110.83

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 63

Prediction missed · off by 103.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 591.7 ±9.4

1540Flaming Chickens

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 145.18Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

70342B Determined

Season APEX 128.9Event APEX 44.05Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4125Confidential

Season APEX 196.3Event APEX 31.72Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.1 ±13.3

9567StormBreakers

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 25.26Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3024My Favorite Team

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 50.03Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

847PHRED

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 35.54Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1540, 7034, 4125

/ 100 compat

Projected

221 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1540, 7034, 4125

Auto

36.6 17%

Teleop

149.4 68%

Endgame

33.2 15%

Strengths

· 1540 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9567, 3024, 847

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9567, 3024, 847

Auto

27.6 26%

Teleop

60.7 57%

Endgame

17.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score221pts

Blue projected score110.8pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 110.1
Score range: 88–244
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 124 vs event baseline 127.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

591.7Season APEX143.1

36.6Auto27.6

149.4Teleop60.7

33.2Endgame17.6

24Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	11
teleop	37	17
endgame	7	5
foul	15	30
total	61	63

Result

Final score

61 – 63

Prediction missed · off by 103.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.