Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
104.5 – 96.95
52%48%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
56 – 176
Prediction missed · off by 63.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 189.1 ±13.3
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 37.42Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 10.8Rank 33Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 56.28Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 484 ±8.8
Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 56.55Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 169Event APEX 45.92Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX -5.52Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4043, 2733, 3024
51
/ 100 compatProjected
104.5 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 4043, 2733, 3024
Auto
14.0 14%
Teleop
46.0 47%
Endgame
38.9 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3674, 10991, 2811
58
/ 100 compatProjected
97 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3674, 10991, 2811
Auto
21.3 23%
Teleop
45.3 48%
Endgame
26.9 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.4
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score104.5pts
Blue projected score97pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 7.5
- Score range
- 74–128
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
189.1Season APEX484
14Auto21.3
46Teleop45.3
38.9Endgame26.9
0Consistency93
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 18 |
| teleop | 40 | 93 |
| endgame | 3 | 50 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 56 | 176 |
Result
Final score
56 – 176
Prediction missed · off by 63.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.