Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
5.33 – 61.19
33%67%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
7 – 78
Prediction correct · off by 9.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 184.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 48.6Event APEX -6.76Rank 26Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 15.03Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 98.4Event APEX -2.94Rank 33Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 500.6 ±9.5
Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 18.56Rank 32Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX -11.33Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 307.9Event APEX 53.96Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9438, 6845, 2733
9
/ 100 compatProjected
5.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9438, 6845, 2733
Auto
-2.6 0%
Teleop
-0.3 0%
Endgame
3.3 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3712, 2811, 5468
46
/ 100 compatProjected
61.2 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3712, 2811, 5468
Auto
21.9 37%
Teleop
24.5 42%
Endgame
12.1 21%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 1.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score5.3pts
Blue projected score61.2pts
Red win probability33%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -55.9
- Score range
- -17–83
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
184.8Season APEX500.6
-2.6Auto21.9
-0.3Teleop24.5
3.3Endgame12.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 4 | 23 |
| teleop | 2 | 46 |
| endgame | 1 | 9 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 7 | 78 |
Result
Final score
7 – 78
Prediction correct · off by 9.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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