Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

166.78 – 132.64

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

164 – 330

Prediction missed · off by 100.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.9 ±12.2

3024My Favorite Team

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 63.9Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3674CloverBots

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 84.37Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6443AEMBOT

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 18.51Rank 30Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 561 ±9.9

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 87.51Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

955Ctrl C

A+

Season APEX 311.5Event APEX 57.01Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

847PHRED

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX -11.88Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3024, 3674, 6443

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3024, 3674, 6443

Auto

34.4 21%

Teleop

85.5 51%

Endgame

46.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 846, 955, 847

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 846, 955, 847

Auto

35.8 27%

Teleop

64.2 49%

Endgame

31.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score166.8pts

Blue projected score132.6pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 34.1
Score range: 113–187
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 494 vs event baseline 110.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.9Season APEX561

34.4Auto35.8

85.5Teleop64.2

46.9Endgame31.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	52
teleop	81	201
endgame	51	77
foul	10	0
total	164	330

Result

Final score

164 – 330

Prediction missed · off by 100.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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