Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.18 – 78.62

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

9 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 254.2 ±10.7

6845River Bots

Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 33.33Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2811StormBots

Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 15.94Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5920VIKotics

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 12.91Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.5 ±10.4

2926Robo Sparks

Season APEX 120Event APEX 37.39Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4061SciBorgs

Season APEX 99.8Event APEX -11.28Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

997Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 143.7Event APEX 52.51Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6845, 2811, 5920

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6845, 2811, 5920

Auto

24.5 41%

Teleop

26.2 44%

Endgame

8.7 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2926, 4061, 997

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2926, 4061, 997

Auto

26.3 33%

Teleop

26.4 33%

Endgame

26.5 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.2pts

Blue projected score78.6pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16.4
Score range: 42–99
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 151 vs event baseline 113.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

254.2Season APEX363.5

24.5Auto26.3

26.2Teleop26.4

8.7Endgame26.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	25
teleop	4	79
endgame	0	38
foul	5	0
total	9	142

Result

Final score

9 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 58.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree