Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.63 – 127.47

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

24 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.5 ±9.8

70342B Determined

Season APEX 128.9Event APEX 56.88Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10991PioBytes

Season APEX 169Event APEX 28.43Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9438Leopard Tech

Season APEX 48.6Event APEX 5.32Rank 26Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 367.9 ±11

2521SERT

Season APEX 133.8Event APEX 80.86Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4125Confidential

Season APEX 196.3Event APEX 48.84Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6845River Bots

Season APEX 37.8Event APEX -2.23Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7034, 10991, 9438

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7034, 10991, 9438

Auto

11.8 14%

Teleop

52.8 64%

Endgame

18.3 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2521, 4125, 6845

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2521, 4125, 6845

Auto

26.2 21%

Teleop

67.5 54%

Endgame

31.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.6pts

Blue projected score127.5pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36.8
Score range: 64–154
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 133 vs event baseline 151.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346.5Season APEX367.9

11.8Auto26.2

52.8Teleop67.5

18.3Endgame31.3

19Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	31
teleop	13	51
endgame	4	22
foul	0	5
total	24	109

Result

Final score

24 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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