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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
PNW District Oregon State Fair Event

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

316.37 – 228.28

75%25%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

329 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 18.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 639.5 ±9.5
5920VIKotics
D
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 40.95Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
1540Flaming Chickens
A
Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 128.27Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5468Chaos Theory
A+
Season APEX 307.9Event APEX 147.15Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 736.7 ±7.5
2811StormBots
B
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 22.98Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9023Future Martians
A
Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 88.72Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
955Ctrl C
A+
Season APEX 311.5Event APEX 116.58Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5920, 1540, 5468
79
/ 100 compat
Projected
316.4 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5920, 1540, 5468
Auto
58.3 19%
Teleop
191.6 62%
Endgame
60.5 19%
Strengths
  • · 5468 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2811, 9023, 955
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
228.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2811, 9023, 955
Auto
46.5 21%
Teleop
123.5 56%
Endgame
51.8 23%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score316.4pts
Blue projected score228.3pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
88.1
Score range
201–343
Upset likelihood
25%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 582 vs event baseline 148.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

639.5Season APEX736.7
58.3Auto46.5
191.6Teleop123.5
60.5Endgame51.8
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2462
teleop203135
endgame8751
foul155
total329253

Result

Final score

329 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 18.7 pts

Match videos

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