Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

386.97 – 313.97

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

450 – 384

Prediction correct · off by 66.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 551.8 ±9.8

10991PioBytes

Season APEX 169Event APEX 47.85Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1425Error Code Xero

Season APEX 200Event APEX 177.94Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2471Team Mean Machine

Season APEX 182.8Event APEX 161.18Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 620.5 ±9.9

955Ctrl C

A+

Season APEX 311.5Event APEX 167.36Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6465Mystic Biscuit

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 35.57Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4915Spartronics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 111.04Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10991, 1425, 2471

/ 100 compat

Projected

387 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10991, 1425, 2471

Auto

99.4 27%

Teleop

207.5 56%

Endgame

63.7 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 955, 6465, 4915

/ 100 compat

Projected

314 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 955, 6465, 4915

Auto

56.8 19%

Teleop

161.4 55%

Endgame

73.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score387pts

Blue projected score314pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73
Score range: 274–427
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 834 vs event baseline 222.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

551.8Season APEX620.5

99.4Auto56.8

207.5Teleop161.4

63.7Endgame73.9

7Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	117	55
teleop	212	224
endgame	81	85
foul	40	20
total	450	384

Result

Final score

450 – 384

Prediction correct · off by 66.5 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.