Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
210.23 – 257.17
36%64%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
133 – 305
Prediction correct · off by 62.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 324.2 ±11.4
Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 100.64Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 33.71Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 75.88Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 410.8 ±11
Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 3.26Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 109.68Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 144.23Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8032, 2915, 2811
63
/ 100 compatProjected
210.2 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 8032, 2915, 2811
Auto
29.1 14%
Teleop
107.8 52%
Endgame
70.0 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 75%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2930, 3674, 4488
72
/ 100 compatProjected
257.2 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2930, 3674, 4488
Auto
44.6 18%
Teleop
139.1 57%
Endgame
60.0 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 75%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 2.05
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score210.2pts
Blue projected score257.2pts
Red win probability36%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 75%, blue 71%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -46.9
- Score range
- 170–297
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
324.2Season APEX410.8
29.1Auto44.6
107.8Teleop139.1
70Endgame60
109Consistency90
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 74 |
| teleop | 52 | 161 |
| endgame | 52 | 70 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 133 | 305 |
Result
Final score
133 – 305
Prediction correct · off by 62.5 pts
Match videos
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