Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

416.28 – 218.89

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

347 – 302

Prediction correct · off by 76.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 544.8 ±10.2

6696Cardinal Dynamics

Season APEX 204.3Event APEX 158.65Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

749Ctrl V

Season APEX 74Event APEX 47.37Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1540Flaming Chickens

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 210.26Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352 ±11.6

5970Beavertronics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 4.23Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2521SERT

Season APEX 133.8Event APEX 80.69Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2990Hotwire

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 133.97Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6696, 749, 1540

/ 100 compat

Projected

416.3 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6696, 749, 1540

Auto

72.2 18%

Teleop

231.2 57%

Endgame

103.9 26%

Strengths

· 1540 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5970, 2521, 2990

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5970, 2521, 2990

Auto

33.6 15%

Teleop

119.6 55%

Endgame

65.9 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.71 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score416.3pts

Blue projected score218.9pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 197.4
Score range: 180–455
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 649 vs event baseline 218.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

544.8Season APEX352

72.2Auto33.6

231.2Teleop119.6

103.9Endgame65.9

22Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	50
teleop	212	157
endgame	52	85
foul	0	10
total	347	302

Result

Final score

347 – 302

Prediction correct · off by 76.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.