Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
399.09 – 355.93
63%37%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
386 – 139
Prediction correct · off by 115 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 569.2 ±9.5
Season APEX 204.3Event APEX 151.06Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 46.63Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 201.4Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 620.5 ±9.9
Season APEX 311.5Event APEX 181.22Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 48.77Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 125.94Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6696, 2898, 1540
81
/ 100 compatProjected
399.1 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6696, 2898, 1540
Auto
69.8 18%
Teleop
232.8 59%
Endgame
89.0 23%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 955, 6465, 4915
81
/ 100 compatProjected
355.9 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 955, 6465, 4915
Auto
60.3 18%
Teleop
193.2 58%
Endgame
79.5 24%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.5
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score399.1pts
Blue projected score355.9pts
Red win probability63%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 43.2
- Score range
- 314–441
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
569.2Season APEX620.5
69.8Auto60.3
232.8Teleop193.2
89Endgame79.5
19Consistency5
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 89 | 60 |
| teleop | 215 | 66 |
| endgame | 77 | 13 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 386 | 139 |
Result
Final score
386 – 139
Prediction correct · off by 115 pts
Match videos
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