Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
181.64 – 167.16
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
237 – 76
Prediction correct · off by 73.3 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 545.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 40.86Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 311.5Event APEX 90.53Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 158.2Event APEX 50.25Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 256.9 ±12.1
Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 56.05Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 50.25Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 101.1Event APEX 60.86Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3669, 955, 9430
63
/ 100 compatProjected
181.6 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 3669, 955, 9430
Auto
43.3 24%
Teleop
98.1 54%
Endgame
38.7 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 75%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3636, 5970, 9600
60
/ 100 compatProjected
167.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3636, 5970, 9600
Auto
37.1 23%
Teleop
88.2 55%
Endgame
36.0 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 75%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.63
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score181.6pts
Blue projected score167.2pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 75%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 14.5
- Score range
- 127–222
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
545.8Season APEX256.9
43.3Auto37.1
98.1Teleop88.2
38.7Endgame36
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 96 | 8 |
| teleop | 95 | 55 |
| endgame | 41 | 3 |
| foul | 5 | 10 |
| total | 237 | 76 |
Result
Final score
237 – 76
Prediction correct · off by 73.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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