Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
182.75 – 156.28
58%42%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
319 – 210
Prediction correct · off by 95 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 414.9 ±11
Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 65.43Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 182.8Event APEX 105.71Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 11.61Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 301.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 74Event APEX 53.14Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 64.82Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 38.32Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 957, 2471, 2898
64
/ 100 compatProjected
182.8 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 957, 2471, 2898
Auto
46.5 25%
Teleop
100.7 53%
Endgame
41.6 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 749, 3674, 9567
56
/ 100 compatProjected
156.3 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 749, 3674, 9567
Auto
36.9 26%
Teleop
87.5 61%
Endgame
20.2 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.59
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score182.8pts
Blue projected score156.3pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 70%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 26.5
- Score range
- 117–222
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
414.9Season APEX301.6
46.5Auto36.9
100.7Teleop87.5
41.6Endgame20.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 100 | 33 |
| teleop | 171 | 87 |
| endgame | 48 | 80 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 319 | 210 |
Result
Final score
319 – 210
Prediction correct · off by 95 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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