Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

144.86 – 171.42

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

217 – 345

Prediction correct · off by 122.9 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 320.7 ±12.2

4662Byte Sized Robotics

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 53.14Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2990Hotwire

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 43.43Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2521SERT

Season APEX 133.8Event APEX 48.29Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 631.8 ±9.3

1425Error Code Xero

Season APEX 200Event APEX 84.86Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10991PioBytes

Season APEX 169Event APEX 33.42Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4915Spartronics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 53.14Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4662, 2990, 2521

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4662, 2990, 2521

Auto

33.1 23%

Teleop

78.0 55%

Endgame

30.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1425, 10991, 4915

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1425, 10991, 4915

Auto

44.2 28%

Teleop

79.1 50%

Endgame

34.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score144.9pts

Blue projected score171.4pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -26.6
Score range: 108–208
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 562 vs event baseline 207.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

320.7Season APEX631.8

33.1Auto44.2

78Teleop79.1

30.9Endgame34.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	91
teleop	96	154
endgame	79	15
foul	0	85
total	217	345

Result

Final score

217 – 345

Prediction correct · off by 122.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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