Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

367.29 – 72.34

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

374 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 6.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 442.4 ±11

957SWARM - South and West Albany Robotics Maniacs

Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 96.15Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1425Error Code Xero

Season APEX 200Event APEX 171.61Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8032SAASquatch Robotics

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 99.53Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.6 ±13.3

5975Beta Blues

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 9.91Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2898Flying Hedgehogs

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 44.43Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6831A-05 Annex

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 18Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 957, 1425, 8032

/ 100 compat

Projected

367.3 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 957, 1425, 8032

Auto

86.2 25%

Teleop

189.1 54%

Endgame

72.7 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5975, 2898, 6831

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5975, 2898, 6831

Auto

14.6 20%

Teleop

35.8 50%

Endgame

21.1 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.78 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score367.3pts

Blue projected score72.3pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 295
Score range: 33–406
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 453 vs event baseline 218.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

442.4Season APEX235.6

86.2Auto14.6

189.1Teleop35.8

72.7Endgame21.1

94Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	23
teleop	215	26
endgame	88	20
foul	5	10
total	374	79

Result

Final score

374 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 6.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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