Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

131.66 – 233.76

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 344.6 ±11.7

9600X-Flare Robotics

Season APEX 101.1Event APEX 64.94Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6831A-05 Annex

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 19.65Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10991PioBytes

Season APEX 169Event APEX 47.07Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.1 ±11.6

2898Flying Hedgehogs

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 45.86Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5970Beavertronics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 15.51Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1425Error Code Xero

Season APEX 200Event APEX 172.39Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9600, 6831, 10991

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9600, 6831, 10991

Auto

25.4 20%

Teleop

65.6 51%

Endgame

36.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2898, 5970, 1425

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2898, 5970, 1425

Auto

58.5 27%

Teleop

139.7 64%

Endgame

20.6 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score131.7pts

Blue projected score233.8pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -102.1
Score range: 93–273
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 326 vs event baseline 219.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

344.6Season APEX390.1

25.4Auto58.5

65.6Teleop139.7

36.6Endgame20.6

70Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	50
teleop	31	105
endgame	44	48
foul	0	15
total	108	218

Result

Final score

108 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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