Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.63 – 216.09

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 54.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.4 ±13.3

10444Ursa Major

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 3.73Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4662Byte Sized Robotics

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 27.57Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2733Pigmice

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 51.33Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 348.5 ±12.2

3669CarbonKnights

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 14.87Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8032SAASquatch Robotics

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 94.43Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3674CloverBots

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 106.79Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10444, 4662, 2733

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10444, 4662, 2733

Auto

30.8 39%

Teleop

32.6 41%

Endgame

15.9 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3669, 8032, 3674

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.1 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3669, 8032, 3674

Auto

61.5 30%

Teleop

89.3 43%

Endgame

57.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score82.6pts

Blue projected score216.1pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -133.5
Score range: 43–256
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 219.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192.4Season APEX348.5

30.8Auto61.5

32.6Teleop89.3

15.9Endgame57.2

55Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	52
teleop	6	124
endgame	3	80
foul	15	20
total	34	276

Result

Final score

34 – 276

Prediction correct · off by 54.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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