Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.24 – 171.93

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 173 ±12.7

6465Mystic Biscuit

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 38.94Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5975Beta Blues

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 3.1Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3636Generals

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 36.2Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.8 ±12.8

3674CloverBots

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 101.24Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2733Pigmice

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 46.46Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1359Scalawags

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 24.23Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6465, 5975, 3636

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6465, 5975, 3636

Auto

16.0 25%

Teleop

35.6 56%

Endgame

12.3 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3674, 2733, 1359

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3674, 2733, 1359

Auto

47.4 29%

Teleop

68.9 41%

Endgame

49.9 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score78.2pts

Blue projected score171.9pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -93.7
Score range: 39–211
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 218.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

173Season APEX331.8

16Auto47.4

35.6Teleop68.9

12.3Endgame49.9

84Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	52
teleop	24	104
endgame	15	52
foul	0	20
total	48	228

Result

Final score

48 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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