Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.37 – 164.53

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

230 – 179

Prediction missed · off by 58.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 302.4 ±12.8

6831A-05 Annex

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 7.44Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3674CloverBots

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 97.32Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2915Pandamonium

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 23.61Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 304.6 ±12.2

2521SERT

Season APEX 133.8Event APEX 78.27Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1359Scalawags

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 21.84Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9600X-Flare Robotics

Season APEX 101.1Event APEX 64.42Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6831, 3674, 2915

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6831, 3674, 2915

Auto

19.6 16%

Teleop

52.6 43%

Endgame

51.4 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2521, 1359, 9600

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2521, 1359, 9600

Auto

37.7 22%

Teleop

77.4 46%

Endgame

53.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.4pts

Blue projected score164.5pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 77%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36.2
Score range: 89–204
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 409 vs event baseline 215.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

302.4Season APEX304.6

19.6Auto37.7

52.6Teleop77.4

51.4Endgame53.6

136Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	41
teleop	122	109
endgame	66	29
foul	0	0
total	230	179

Result

Final score

230 – 179

Prediction missed · off by 58.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.