Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

102.22 – 275.35

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

126 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 173.9 ±12.7

2550Skynet

Season APEX 39Event APEX 1.68Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3636Generals

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 34.8Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2557SOTAbots

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 65.74Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 351.8 ±11.4

2811StormBots

Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 98.73Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

749Ctrl V

Season APEX 74Event APEX 71.82Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2990Hotwire

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 104.8Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2550, 3636, 2557

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2550, 3636, 2557

Auto

13.3 16%

Teleop

38.9 46%

Endgame

31.8 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2811, 749, 2990

/ 100 compat

Projected

275.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2811, 749, 2990

Auto

28.5 10%

Teleop

144.2 52%

Endgame

102.6 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score102.2pts

Blue projected score275.4pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 79%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -173.1
Score range: 64–313
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 335 vs event baseline 213.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

173.9Season APEX351.8

13.3Auto28.5

38.9Teleop144.2

31.8Endgame102.6

66Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	57
teleop	53	101
endgame	44	41
foul	5	10
total	126	209

Result

Final score

126 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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