Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

273.4 – 181.09

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

338 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 36.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 446.4 ±10.5

997Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 143.7Event APEX 86.18Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6696Cardinal Dynamics

Season APEX 204.3Event APEX 155.82Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2898Flying Hedgehogs

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 31.4Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 292.8 ±12.2

9430CTEC Robotics

Season APEX 158.2Event APEX 126.99Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4662Byte Sized Robotics

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 45.86Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2930Sonic Squirrels

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 8.24Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 997, 6696, 2898

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 997, 6696, 2898

Auto

32.1 13%

Teleop

161.2 63%

Endgame

61.2 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9430, 4662, 2930

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9430, 4662, 2930

Auto

42.2 24%

Teleop

101.7 58%

Endgame

32.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.35 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score273.4pts

Blue projected score181.1pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.3
Score range: 143–311
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 510 vs event baseline 212.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

446.4Season APEX292.8

32.1Auto42.2

161.2Teleop101.7

61.2Endgame32.2

32Consistency115

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	64
teleop	179	74
endgame	105	29
foul	0	5
total	338	172

Result

Final score

338 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 36.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.