Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

179.34 – 150.31

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

163 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 10 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.7 ±12.7

9600X-Flare Robotics

Season APEX 101.1Event APEX 70.79Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8032SAASquatch Robotics

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 84.74Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9567StormBreakers

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 23.81Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 224.2 ±12.1

2990Hotwire

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 105.47Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3636Generals

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 35.78Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10444Ursa Major

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 9.06Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9600, 8032, 9567

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9600, 8032, 9567

Auto

34.2 18%

Teleop

109.0 58%

Endgame

45.8 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2990, 3636, 10444

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2990, 3636, 10444

Auto

32.9 24%

Teleop

73.4 53%

Endgame

32.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score179.3pts

Blue projected score150.3pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29
Score range: 112–217
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 212.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

273.7Season APEX224.2

34.2Auto32.9

109Teleop73.4

45.8Endgame32.5

56Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	31
teleop	69	85
endgame	44	33
foul	5	5
total	163	154

Result

Final score

163 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 10 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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