Qualification · Qualification 46
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
114.96 – 175
32%68%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
110 – 143
Prediction correct · off by 18.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.5 ±13.3
Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 32.08Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 8.75Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74Event APEX 74.13Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261.7 ±11.4
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 29.6Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 102.03Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 43.37Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2898, 3669, 749
45
/ 100 compatProjected
115 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2898, 3669, 749
Auto
35.9 34%
Teleop
48.4 46%
Endgame
21.6 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2915, 2811, 6465
54
/ 100 compatProjected
175 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2915, 2811, 6465
Auto
15.1 8%
Teleop
101.5 57%
Endgame
61.9 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 2.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score115pts
Blue projected score175pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 73%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -60
- Score range
- 76–214
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
248.5Season APEX261.7
35.9Auto15.1
48.4Teleop101.5
21.6Endgame61.9
58Consistency102
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 19 |
| teleop | 33 | 74 |
| endgame | 39 | 45 |
| foul | 10 | 5 |
| total | 110 | 143 |
Result
Final score
110 – 143
Prediction correct · off by 18.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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