Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

303.66 – 168.15

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

220 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 41.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 500.7 ±9.9

4915Spartronics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 115.87Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10444Ursa Major

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 21.41Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6696Cardinal Dynamics

Season APEX 204.3Event APEX 166.38Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.5 ±12.2

2471Team Mean Machine

Season APEX 182.8Event APEX 156Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2550Skynet

Season APEX 39Event APEX 3.14Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5970Beavertronics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 9.01Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4915, 10444, 6696

/ 100 compat

Projected

303.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4915, 10444, 6696

Auto

49.3 18%

Teleop

172.1 61%

Endgame

59.5 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2471, 2550, 5970

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2471, 2550, 5970

Auto

54.5 32%

Teleop

75.2 44%

Endgame

40.3 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score303.7pts

Blue projected score168.1pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 135.5
Score range: 130–342
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 388 vs event baseline 211.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

500.7Season APEX313.5

49.3Auto54.5

172.1Teleop75.2

59.5Endgame40.3

46Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	29
teleop	114	92
endgame	28	42
foul	5	5
total	220	168

Result

Final score

220 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 41.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.