Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.4 – 217.74

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 231

Prediction correct · off by 12.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.5 ±12.8

957SWARM - South and West Albany Robotics Maniacs

Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 79.15Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1359Scalawags

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 42.38Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3669CarbonKnights

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX -2.13Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406.1 ±11.2

4488Shockwave

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 127.94Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2915Pandamonium

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 38.53Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10991PioBytes

Season APEX 169Event APEX 51.27Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 957, 1359, 3669

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 957, 1359, 3669

Auto

64.6 61%

Teleop

19.6 19%

Endgame

21.0 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4488, 2915, 10991

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4488, 2915, 10991

Auto

26.6 14%

Teleop

140.6 74%

Endgame

22.8 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score119.4pts

Blue projected score217.7pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -98.3
Score range: 81–256
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 211.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

279.5Season APEX406.1

64.6Auto26.6

19.6Teleop140.6

21Endgame22.8

118Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	37
teleop	52	109
endgame	17	80
foul	0	5
total	108	231

Result

Final score

108 – 231

Prediction correct · off by 12.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.